Chicago’s Corporate Fund Structural Deficit and the Need for Revenue Reform

Chicago’s Corporate Fund Structural Deficit and the Need for Revenue Reform
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Chicago's Corporate Fund — the city's primary operating budget — faces a structural deficit that is projected to grow to over $2.8 billion by FY 2055. A structural deficit exists when a government's revenues grow too slowly to cover the inflation- and population-adjusted cost of maintaining current services and meeting existing debt obligations. Three factors drive this imbalance: roughly a third of the city's revenue comes from non-economic, unit-based taxes whose yields don't grow with inflation; the State of Illinois has progressively reduced Chicago's share of state income tax and Corporate Personal Property Replacement Tax revenues; and pension obligations consume a large and growing share of the Corporate Fund under a backloaded repayment structure. Because Chicago is legally required to pass a balanced budget each year, the City has repeatedly relied on one-time measures to close annual gaps — an approach that defers rather than resolves the underlying problem. Sustainable fiscal health requires structural revenue solutions: recurring, economy-responsive revenue sources such as a restored LGDF sharing rate, reduced CPPRT diversions, and a property tax levy indexed to inflation, alongside spending reforms such as pension debt re-amortization.

The Public Safety Tier II Adjustment Act: The Wrong Way to do the Right Thing

The Public Safety Tier II Adjustment Act: The Wrong Way to do the Right Thing
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In August 2025, Illinois enacted Public Act 104-0065, also referred to as the “Pension Sweetener,” to enhance pension benefits for Chicago police officers and firefighters hired after January 1, 2011. The legislation seeks to correct inequities created by the Tier II pension system, which lowered benefits for new employees without addressing the State’s history of underfunding pensions. Because Tier II benefits fall below federal Social Security Safe Harbor standards, Illinois risks being required to enroll affected employees in Social Security—an outcome that could cost more than $800 million annually. The new law adjusts how final average salary is calculated, raises the salary cap used for benefit determinations, enhances cost-of-living adjustments, and improves survivor benefits to bring Tier II benefits closer to Tier I levels and ensure compliance with the Social Security Safe Harbor.

However, while the legislation helps protect retirement security and enhance workforce stability for public safety employees, it does not include a funding source to pay for the enhanced benefits. Instead, it shifts the additional cost—projected at $6.5 billion through 2055—onto the City of Chicago. This cost shift comes as Chicago faces a $1.2 billion Corporate Fund deficit in FY 2026 and experiences declining revenue from the State of Illinois through diversions of the Corporate Personal Property Replacement Tax and the Local Government Distributive Fund, two revenue-sharing mechanisms meant to support cities and municipalities across the state.

These concurrent pressures highlight a broader problem: Illinois has repeatedly enacted pension and revenue policies that exacerbate local fiscal strain. While the Public Safety Tier II Adjustment Act partially remedies one structural flaw regarding the Social Security Safe Harbor, it does so at the expense of the municipal budget. Sustainable reform will require coordinated state-local action to restore historic revenue-sharing practices, re-amortize pension debt, and ensure that benefit adjustments are matched with reliable funding mechanisms.

Understanding – and Resolving Illinois’ Pension Funding Challenges: Volume II

Understanding – and Resolving Illinois’ Pension Funding Challenges: Volume II
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Volume II of the state pension report covers Illinois' five public pension systems: the Teachers’ Retirement System (“TRS”); the State Employees’ Retirement System (“SERS”); the Judges’ Retirement System (“JRS”); the State Universities Retirement System (“SURS”); and the General Assembly Retirement System (“GARS”). But what exactly does “funding” a public pension system entail? According to the United States Government Accountability Office (“GAO”), to be considered financially healthy, a public pension system should have a “funded ratio” of at least 80 percent.  A “funded ratio” is determined by dividing the current monetary value of a pension system’s total assets by its total liabilities.

However, as of the end of FY 2023, the state's pensions systems had $257 billion in liabilities, but only $115 billion in assets to cover those liabilities. This 45 percent funded ratio is a stark contrast to the national average, as well as 35 percentage points below the standard set by the GAO.  It also means Illinois state government faces a $142 billion, aggregate “unfunded liability” owed to its pension systems. 

The updated report, “Understanding – and Resolving Illinois’ Pension Funding Challenges Volume II” provides the historical context of how Illinois pensions became so underfunded, where the Illinois pension debt stands today, and delineates Gov. Pritzker's FY 2025 proposal to modify the Pension Ramp. The report also provides a template for re-amortizing the pension debt in a responsible manner, that would save billions in taxpayer costs while getting all five pension systems healthy.

Topics

Understanding and Addressing Chicago’s Pension Funding Crisis

Understanding and Addressing Chicago’s Pension Funding Crisis
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The City of Chicago is responsible for funding the following four, defined benefit public pension plans: Laborers’ and Retirement Board Employees’ Annuity and Benefit Fund (“LABF”), Municipal Employee’s Annuity and Benefit Fund (“MEABF”), Policemen’s Annuity and Benefit Fund (“PABF”), and Firemen’s Annuity and Benefit Fund (“FABF”).

These four systems have the lowest funded ratios for local pension plans in the country. Considered together, in 2022 Chicago’s four systems had $44.7 billion in liabilities, but only $10.8 billion in assets to cover those liabilities. This means Chicago, and hence its taxpayers, face a significant, $33.9 billion, aggregate unfunded liability. This is effectively debt owed to the city’s pension systems. Frequently, the financial health of a pension system at any point in time is based on its “funded ratio”—which is simply the percentage obtained by dividing a pension system’s assets by its liabilities. Typically, pension systems are deemed to be financially healthy if their funded ratio is above 80%, but the goal is always to get systems 100% funded.  The aggregate funded ratio across all four Chicago pension systems of just 24 percent is decidedly not healthy under any metric.

CTBA's new report, "Understanding and Addressing Chicago's Pension Funding Crisis" details the true causes of Chicago’s pension funding problems, how state law made matters worse, recent attempts to address Chicago’s pension funding crisis, and presents CTBA’s proposal for responsibly re-amortizing the pension debt to generate roughly $11 billion in savings.

Updated: Illinois Teachers’ Retirement System and Tier II Pension Law: An Overview

Updated: Illinois Teachers’ Retirement System and Tier II Pension Law: An Overview
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Illinois state government has the responsibility to fund five public pension systems: the Teachers’ Retirement System (“TRS”); the State Employees’ Retirement System (“SERS”); the Judges’ Retirement System (“JRS”); the State Universities Retirement System (“SURS”); and the General Assembly Retirement System (“GARS”). The state’s pension systems are not in a good place fiscally. As of November 2022, the state’s five pension systems collectively had $248 billion in liabilities, but only $109 billion in assets to cover those liabilities. This results in a funded ratio across all five state systems of just 44 percent.

In a poorly conceived attempt to reduce overall costs for the pension systems, legislators passed Public Act 96–0889 in 2010, which modified the Pension Code by creating a new tier of retirement benefits that were significantly less than the benefits payable under the state’s prior plan. Known as “Tier II,” these lesser benefits were applicable to all workers eligible to participate in any of the state’s five public pension plans that were hired on or after January 1, 2011. The concept of using a lesser benefit level to reduce overall costs in the state’s five pension systems was poorly conceived, because all the data show that plan benefits were not the driver of either the creation of the unfunded liability the state owes to its pensions systems, or the growing financial pressure that the pension systems are putting on the state’s General Fund.

Those lesser Tier II benefits created problems. For instance, it clearly is not equitable for the state to charge public workers the same contribution rate for lesser benefits than their peers receive. Of course, because their benefits are less than provided under Tier I, members of the Tier II system have less retirement security than their Tier I peers have, despite providing the same public services. On top of that, from a purely fiscal perspective, the design of the Tier II system will ultimately put Illinois in violation of the Federal Insurance Contributions Act (“FICA”) exemption. This exemption creates a “Safe Harbor” which allows state governments to be exempt from enrolling public sector employees in Social Security coverage—and hence paying into the Social Security system—but only if those employees are provided a “sufficient” pension package from the state claiming the exemption. There is a growing consensus that the design of Tier II, which charges its members the same contribution rate as Tier I members, but pays a much lower retirement benefit, will be insufficient under the aforesaid federal Safe Harbor standards. This report has been updated to include small efforts that have been made to modify Tier II benefits and allow for Safe Harbor compliance within some pensions systems, though progress thus far has been insufficient.

The policy questions this raises for decision makers are varied, and include, at a minimum: how can Tier II be modified to provide a level of benefits that would satisfy federal Safe Harbor requisites, create retirement security for Tier II members, and help recruit high quality workers to the public sector generally and teaching specifically?

This report analyzes those questions using data from TRS, which is Illinois’ largest pension system by number of enrollees, liabilities, and asset holdings, and will provide:

  1. A breakdown of Federal Safe Harbor and Social Security Equivalence standards;
  2. An overview of TRS;
  3. An explanation of why Tier II benefits exist in Illinois; and
  4. A demonstration of how Tier II benefits are in violation of federal standards.

Illinois Teachers’ Retirement System and Tier II Pension Law: An Overview

Illinois Teachers’ Retirement System and Tier II Pension Law: An Overview
Released

Illinois state government has the responsibility to fund five public pension systems: the Teachers’ Retirement System (“TRS”); the State Employees’ Retirement System (“SERS”); the Judges’ Retirement System (“JRS”); the State Universities Retirement System (“SURS”); and the General Assembly Retirement System (“GARS”). The state’s pension systems are not in a good place fiscally. As of November 2022, which is the most recent data available, the state’s five pension systems collectively had $248 billion in liabilities, but only $109 billion in assets to cover those liabilities. This results in a funded ratio across all five state systems of just 44 percent.

In a poorly conceived attempt to reduce overall costs for the pension systems, legislators passed Public Act 96–0889 in 2010, which modified the Pension Code by creating a new tier of retirement benefits that were significantly less than the benefits payable under the state’s prior plan. Known as “Tier II,” these lesser benefits were applicable to all workers eligible to participate in any of the state’s five public pension plans that were hired on or after January 1, 2011. The concept of using a lesser benefit level to reduce overall costs in the state’s five pension systems was poorly conceived, because all the data show that plan benefits were not the driver of either the creation of the unfunded liability the state owes to its pensions systems, or the growing financial pressure that the pension systems are putting on the state’s General Fund.

Those lesser Tier II benefits created problems. For instance, it clearly is not equitable for the state to charge public workers the same contribution rate for lesser benefits than their peers receive. Of course, because their benefits are less than provided under Tier I, members of the Tier II system have less retirement security than their Tier I peers have, despite providing the same public services. On top of that, from a purely fiscal perspective, the design of the Tier II system will ultimately put Illinois in violation of the Federal Insurance Contributions Act (“FICA”) exemption. This exemption creates a “Safe Harbor” which allows state governments to be exempt from enrolling public sector employees in Social Security coverage—and hence paying into the Social Security system—but only if those employees are provided a “sufficient” pension package from the state claiming the exemption. There is a growing consensus that the design of Tier II, which charges its members the same contribution rate as Tier I members, but pays a much lower retirement benefit, will be insufficient under the aforesaid federal Safe Harbor standards.

The policy questions this raises for decision makers are varied, and include, at a minimum: how can Tier II be modified to provide a level of benefits that would satisfy federal Safe Harbor requisites, create retirement security for Tier II members, and help recruit high quality workers to the public sector generally and teaching specifically?

This report analyzes those questions using data from TRS, which is Illinois’ largest pension system by number of enrollees, liabilities, and asset holdings, and will provide:

  1. A breakdown of Federal Safe Harbor and Social Security Equivalence standards;
  2. An overview of TRS;
  3. An explanation of why Tier II benefits exist in Illinois; and
  4. A demonstration of how Tier II benefits are in violation of federal standards.

Understanding – and Resolving Illinois’ Pension Funding Challenges

Understanding – and Resolving Illinois’ Pension Funding Challenges
Released

Illinois state government has the responsibility to fund five public pension systems: the Teachers’ Retirement System (“TRS”); the State Employees’ Retirement System (“SERS”); the Judges’ Retirement System (“JRS”); the State Universities Retirement System (“SURS”); and the General Assembly Retirement System (“GARS”). But what exactly does “funding” a public pension system entail?

According to the United States Government Accountability Office (“GAO”), to be considered financially healthy, a public pension system should have a “funded ratio” of at least 80 percent.  A “funded ratio” is determined by dividing the current monetary value of a pension system’s total assets by its total liabilities.

As things stand today, the state’s pension systems are decidedly not healthy. As of November 2022, the state’s five pension systems collectively had $248 billion in liabilities, but only $109 billion in assets to cover those liabilities. This results in a funded ratio across all five state systems of just 44 percent, or fully 36 percentage points below the standard for healthy set by the GAO.  It also means Illinois state government faces a significant, as in $139 billion, aggregate “unfunded liability”—read that as “debt”—owed to its pension systems. Which begs the question: how did the state get in this predicament?

CTBA's report, “Understanding – and Resolving Illinois’ Pension Funding Challenges” provides some insights into Illinois’ pension crisis by:

  1. Providing the historical context of how Illinois pensions became so underfunded;
  2. Explaining where the Illinois pension debt stands today;
  3. Clarifying that the debt service schedule created under the pension ramp is straining the state’s fiscal system—not the cost of funding benefits; and
  4. Providing a template for re-amortizing the pension debt in a responsible manner, that would save billions in taxpayer costs while getting all five pension systems healthy.

Everything You Need to Know About the "Fair Tax"

Everything You Need to Know About the "Fair Tax"
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Do you still have questions about Illinois’ proposed amendment to the Illinois Constitution, often referred to as the “Fair Tax”? Over the past several months, the Center for Tax and Budget Accountability (“CTBA”) has been compiling some of the most frequently asked questions about the Fair Tax and has created this FAQ to help voters understand this ballot initiative.

Setting the Record Straight on Illinois’ Fiscal Shortcomings

Setting the Record Straight on Illinois’ Fiscal Shortcomings
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This report shows how the data make it quite clear that: Illinois incurred pension debt—under both Republicans and Democrats-- to mask its fiscal problems, not to pay irresponsibly high benefits; Illinois is not a high spending state, and in fact has cut spending on services in real terms by more than 23% since FY2000; that over $9 out of every $10 Illinois, and frankly every other state in America, spends on services goes to the four core areas of Education (including Pre-K, K-12, and Higher Ed), Healthcare, Human Services and Public Safety—meaning those are the services which are imperiled if the feds don’t come through with a significant relief package for state governments suffering revenue loss from the downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic; and the Pritzker Administration has actually pushed a number of fiscal initiatives that are actually responsible and counter some of the poor practices of the past.

Impact on Illinois' Structural Deficit

Impact on Illinois' Structural Deficit
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The state of Illinois faces a significant structural deficit into the future. The report highlights the nature of the structural deficit and identifies two key causes: the state’s historically flawed  tax policy and the plan devised for repayment of Illinois’ pension debt. CTBA proposes both the adoption of the Fair Tax and a reamortization of the pension debt as described in the report titled: Addressing Illinois’ Pension Debt Crisis With Reamortization. Doing so would allow the State to ensure full funding for the Evidence Based Funding Formula while also improving the status of Illinois’ public employee pension system and eliminating the State’s structural deficit by 2042.