The Ugly Reality of the Big Beautiful Bill: Impacts on the State of Illinois and the Path Forward

The Ugly Reality of the Big Beautiful Bill: Impacts on the State of Illinois and the Path Forward
Released

This report by the Center for Tax and Budget Accountability analyzes the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" ("OBBBA"), the sweeping federal legislation signed into law by President Trump on July 4, 2025, which represents the most significant restructuring of federal tax and spending policy in decades. The OBBBA delivers trillions of dollars in permanent tax cuts weighted heavily toward wealthy individuals and corporations, financed in large part through deep reductions to Medicaid, the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, clean energy investment, and federal education funding—programs that disproportionately serve low- and middle-income Americans. The report documents five decades of evidence demonstrating that supply-side tax policy has consistently failed to produce the economic growth its proponents promise while reliably increasing the national deficit and income inequality. For Illinois specifically, CTBA estimates that fully offsetting the OBBBA's combined fiscal impacts, including backfilling Medicaid and SNAP cuts so that Illinois residents continue receiving current services, would cost the state's General Fund approximately $45.4 billion over the next ten years, or an average of $4.54 billion annually. The report concludes by identifying the structural revenue reforms, including income tax reform, sales tax base expansion, and pension re-amortization, and near-term defensive actions that Illinois policymakers must pursue to navigate this historic fiscal challenge without devastating cuts to core public services.

 

Analysis of Pharmacy Benefit Managers' Impact on Medicaid Drug Pricing

Analysis of Pharmacy Benefit Managers' Impact on Medicaid Drug Pricing
Released

An Analysis of Pharmacy Benefit Managers' Impact on Medicaid Drug Pricing provides some insights into the question of how decision makers can best incorporate Pharmacy Benefit Managers ("PBMs") into the management of Medicaid and CHIP. The report summarizes how PBMs work in practice at the state level to contain retail prescription drug costs in Medicaid programs, and to the extent relevant, how the “Managed Care Organizations (“MCOs”) contract with various state governments to administer Medicaid and CHIP benefits and services. Additionally, the report provides a brief explanation of how the retail prices for prescription drugs are determined at the state level for Medicaid programs in the Managed Care/PBM setting —and how that differs from the traditional Fee-for-Services or FFS setting. 

The report also provides a national snapshot of the PBM's impact on drug pricing nationally, and then delves into the impact of PBMs on prescription drug costs in Medicaid and CHIP programs for five states: Illinois, West Virginia, Louisiana, Missouri, and Florida. West Virginia and Missouri are examples of states that use a pharmacy benefit “carve out,” which means some or all Medicaid prescription drug benefits are not included in the state’s respective managed care contracts. Illinois, Florida, and Louisiana were selected as states that rely on a pharmacy benefit “carve in,” which means Medicaid prescription drug benefits are for the most part included in the applicable managed care contracts.

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The Impact of State Budget Shortfalls on Payments to Medicaid Health Care Providers

The Impact of State Budget Shortfalls on Payments to Medicaid Health Care Providers
Released

A Fact Sheet on impact of state budget shortfalls on payments to Medicaid healthcare providers in Illinois.

Proposed Federal Cuts Threaten Illinois' Medicaid Program

Proposed Federal Cuts Threaten Illinois' Medicaid Program
Released

This Report provides information on how proposed federal cuts to Medicaid in 2006 would have affected Illinois' program.

Illinois’ Medicaid Program

Illinois’ Medicaid Program
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An analysis of the role “intergovernmental transfers” and the “upper payment limit” play in financing Illinois’ Medicaid program. These financing mechanisms are critical to funding healthcare for poor and low-income individuals throughout the state. 

The State of Illinois Shortchanges Cook County on Federal Medicaid Funds

The State of Illinois Shortchanges Cook County on Federal Medicaid Funds
Released

An explanation of how the state shortchanges Cook County of federal Medicaid payments.

Medicaid Plays a Critical Role in Illinois’ Economy

Medicaid Plays a Critical Role in Illinois’ Economy
Released

Medicaid spending is often misunderstood and misrepresented because of the complexities of its financing structure.This Report is intended to: (1) clarify how Illinois’ Medicaid program is funded, (2) highlight the benefits to the state of Medicaid’s financing structure, (3) identify the percentage of state, own-source general fund spending dedicated to the program and (4) demonstrate the economic impact Medicaid spending (or cuts) has on the state and local economy.