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 Weekly Review
Provided through the Generous Support of the McCormick Tribune Foundation
CTBA Weekly Review November 6, 2007
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In This Issue
Doomsday: Another Band-Aid
BIMP Finally Goes to Governor
October Revenues
The Illinois' Economy
State Pensions
Calendar
Chicago Region Transit
 
Transit:  Short-Term Fix and 3rd Doomsday in Sight 

On Friday, the governor negotiated a short-term fix for CTA and Pace, providing $27 million to the agencies so that they can meet payroll and other operational costs through the end of the year. The short-term fix flexed federal capital dollars to patch the budget hole, an accounting measure that underscores the need to identify sustainable, regionally-derived revenues. New Year's Day will become the third doomsday for transit. Negotiations on the capital bill, due to take place over the next 10 days, have held-up discussions on a long-term fix for transit. A long-term fix is not just about money, but the ability of state government to deliver substantive changes to how transit is planned and developed to ensure the viability of the Northeast region.

 

By all accounts, SB572 House Amendment 10 contains far-reaching substantive changes to the RTA region.  Viewed cumulatively, those changes will:

 

§         Address the population and job growth in the suburbs by improve mobility and reducing congestion through a county-directed fund for road enhancements

§         Deliver right-sized transit to the suburbs through the implementation of innovative and multimodal forms of transit

§         Ensure adequate funding for the CTA and substantially fix the CTA pension problems, which will prevent the use of pension contributions to shore-up operating short-falls

§         Empower the RTA to hold the Service Boards (CTA, Metra and Pace) to responsible accounting

§         Direct the RTA and the Service Boards to strengthen minority and female diversity programs for hiring and contracting

 

Without this bill:

1.      Collar counties will not receive $116 million for road enhancements.

 

2.      Fare increases and service cuts may occur in January 2008. 

 

3.      No new funds will be made available for transit systems outside of the Northeast region, leaving18 counties slated to receive transit funds for the first time without any funding.

 

4.      Job Access Reverse Commute and New Freedom funds in the Northeast region may be jeopardized because CTA and Pace will not have available funds to meet match requirements.

 

How SB572 HAM 10 affect the Northeast region?

§         No fare increases.

§         For every $100 spent, twenty-five cents will be paid in sales tax in Chicago and fifty cents in the collar counties.

§         In Chicago, for every $100,000 spent on real estate, $300 would go to the CTA.

Given that middle and low income individuals are much more likely to use mass transit, they will pay more under fare increases than tax increases.  Take a look at the most recent Weekly Review http://www.ctbaonline.org/PressRoom.htm

 

Will transit modernize or erode? All corners of the political spectrum unanimously support the bill. (See a list of endorsers: www.chicagometropolis2020.org.) Both the Chicago Tribune and the Sun-Times have repeatedly voiced their support for the bill. Initially, brought to the floor for house vote on September 4, the bill received 61 votes in favor, including five Republicans. Without the full 71 votes needed to override an expected veto from the Governor, the bill was quickly set to postpone consideration. Once a capital bill is in place, it is anticipated that the SB572 will be brought before the legislature in late November or early December.

 

Read Representative Julie Hamos' most recent update: http://www.juliehamos.org/transit/news/newsitem.aspx?newsitemid=132

 
 
 

For further information, contact Dia Cirillo, policy director-workforce, at dcirillo@ctbaonline.org

Budget Update  
Capitol DomeBIMP Goes to Governor 
SB 783 House Amendment 5 or the The Budget Implementation Bill "BIMP" was finally passed by the General Assembly and sent to the Governor. 
 
 
For Schools

It is good news for schools, once the bill is signed by the governor the Illinois State Board of Education (ISBE) can begin calculating school aid at the new higher funding rate in time for the November state aid payment.

 

The BIMP bill and FY 2008 budget raises the foundation level by $400 to $5,734 per pupil. It also adds a $1,000 increase for special education teacher reimbursement and language for increasing the reimbursement for special education support staff.

However, the current Foundation Level is not based on any objective, measurable standard. It simply represents what the state believes it can afford. The nonpartisan Education Funding Advisory Board or "EFAB", has created a recommended FY 2008 foundation level of $6,974 that ties the per pupil expense to the actual cost of an academic curriculum of sufficient quality to permit an efficiently operated school district to obtain the result of having two-thirds of its non-at-risk children pass the Illinois standardized tests.

· The proposed Foundation Level increase is still $1,240 short of the FY 2008 Education Funding Advisory Board recommendation of $6,974.

To find out more about General State Aid and EFAB read the CTBA Issue Brief:  The Illinois School Funding Formula and Distribution of General State Aid
 
Performance Based Compensation?

The BIMP also allows "performance-based" compensation for teachers that can be tied to student performance on standardized tests. Several groups opposed this language because the quality of teaching is not adequately measured by standardized tests and often depends on the support children receive at home. Tying compensation to tests hurts teachers who work in the most difficult school environments, which are often hard to staff in the first place.

 

The BIMP also diverts taxpayer dollars from public to private schools by expanding previously existing textbook and transportation subsidies and providing grants to private schools.

 

A comparative breakdown of state allocations to school districts, based upon the pending BIMP bill, is available here.

 
Human Services Lose Funding Even With the BIMP
While local school districts can receive
their increased payments retroactively, human service providers rely on Medicaid funding, which can only be paid prospectively.  That means some human service programs have lost funding this year because of the Springfield stalemate.
 
 
October Revenues  

Federal Sources Up, State Revenues Still Not Keeping Up With Inflation

After declining by almost $200 million last month, the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability (COGFA) reports that General Fund Revenues were up almost $350 million in October. (Read last month's update here).

 
 

The gain is mostly attributed to a jump in state spending that is reimbursable by the federal government (such as Medicaid) as federal sources increased by $175 million.  Other revenues include an $81 million increase in the personal income tax and an increase of $25 million from casinos and the lottery.

 
Sales Tax Revenues Again Fail to Match Last Year
 
Despite the overall monthly gain, corporate income taxes and sales taxes again suffered monthly declines. Gross corporate income tax fell $19 million and sales tax revenues decreased $3 million.
 
October marks the eighth time in the last nine months that sales tax receipts have failed to match the same prior year levels. 
 
COGFA calls the sales tax a weak revenue source. During the past two decades, revenues from the Illinois sales tax have grown more slowly than in most other states, even though Illinois has one of the highest sales tax rates in the country. 
 
This is due to Illinois' comparatively narrow sales tax base.  The reason Illinois has a narrow sales tax base is because it excludes almost all consumer services. Of the 164 taxable services that could be included in the sales tax base, Illinois taxes only 17. Illinois taxes fewer services than all its neighboring states, Iowa, Wisconsin, Missouri, Indiana and Kentucky.
 
 
Year to Date:  Revenues Not Up With Inflation

Overall revenues are up $503 million for fiscal year 2008 compared to this point in fiscal year 2007.  However, the vast majority of that gain stems from an increase in federal, not state, receipts. Strong reimbursable federal spending has resulted in an increase of $344 million in federal sources.  Excluding that, growth in all other sources was only $159 million. However, accounting for inflation, revenues are down by almost $70 million for the fiscal year.

While gross personal income tax receipts are doing well for the fiscal year, up $189 million, sales tax receipts are down $58 million. In addition, gross corporate income taxes also are down $33 million.

Despite a good October, overall transfers are down $22 million for the fiscal year, as $28 million gains in lottery and $25 million gain in riverboat transfers were more than wiped out by a $75 million drop in other transfers.

For more information on Illinois Budget and Revenue visit http://www.ctbaonline.org/Budget_Tax.htm 
or contact
Chrissy Mancini, Director of Budget and Policy Analysis, at cmancini@ctbaonline.org
The Illinois' Economy  
Unemployment rate is up almost a full percent from last year
 
The October 2007 Monthly Update from the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability (COGFA) states that in contrast to the national picture, Illinois' unemployment rate is up almost a full percent from last year and has yet to recoup all of the jobs lost during the previous recession.
 
Figure 1 shows that the unemployment rate is down 0.8% from the same time last year.
 
Figure 1:  Illinois Economic Indicators
  SEPT.   2006 SEPT.   2007 Difference
Unemployment Rate  4.3% 5.1% -0.8%
Annual Rate of Inflation  3.4% 3.7% -0.3%
Source:  COGFA, October 2007
 
More important, the gain in Illinois' employment has begun to track on a slowing path.
 
September was the fourth consecutive month that gains on a year-over-year basis weakened. 
 
State Pensions  
IRSI
In case you missed it, check out the Illinois Retirement Security Initiative's November newsletter:
 
 
Contact Jourlande Gabriel, Director of the Illinois Retirement Security Initiative at jgabriel@ctbaonline.org
 
 
"The Illinois Retirement Security Initiative is a project of the Center for Tax and Budget Accountability. The goal of the Illinois Retirement Security Initiative is to ensure public retirement benefits in the state are adequately financed and designed to attract high quality employees to the public sector.  The Initiative will research, formulate and advocate for public policies towards that end."
Calendar of Events  

 

 

WHAT? Illinois Food Summit 2007 "Building on Success Through Collaboration"

 

WHEN? November 8, 2007

 

 

WHERE? Kankakee Community College, 100 College Drive, Kankakee, IL 60901
More info: http://inc.aces.uiuc.edu/

Sponsored by  Illinois Interagency Nutrition Council and the

University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign Extension

 

WHAT?

Affordable Housing Month

WHEN? November 1-30, 2007

WHERE? Public education events and activities to be held throughout the state
Contact:
nate@housingactionil.org or 312-939-6074 x 201 More info: www.housingactionil.org.

 

WHAT? Release of the 2007 State of Working Illinois Report and Policy Forum

WHEN? Wednesday, December 5, 2007 from 8:30 to 12:30

WHERE? Union League Club of Chicago, main Lounge, 65 West Jackson Blvd, Chicago, IL

INFO:  This is the second detailed analysis of workforce and economic trends produced by the Center for Governmental Studies and the Office for Social Policy Research, both at Northern Illinois University and the Center for Tax and Budget Accountability.  Statewide data as well as data on individual regions and counties will be presented in the report. 
 
For more information contact Tracy Bisacky at tbisacky@ctbaonline.org
 

WHAT? Making the Connection Basic Training

WHEN? Wednesday, January 23, 2008

WHERE? Naperville, IL

Presented by the DuPage Federation on Human Services the session contains practical information in an easy to understand format regarding many programs available to assist low income persons.

Register Here

 

WHAT? Making the Connection: Public Benefits and Single Adults & Public Benefits for Youths up to 21

WHEN? March 5, 2008

WHERE? Naperville, IL

Presented by the DuPage Federation on Human Services

Register Here

 

WHAT? Making the Connection: Mental Health and Public Benefits & Understanding Spenddown

WHEN? March 6, 2008

WHERE?Naperville, IL

Presented by the DuPage Federation on Human Services

Register Here

 

WHAT? Understanding Appeals & Domestic Violence and Public Benefits

WHEN? March 18, 2008

WHERE?Naperville, IL

Presented by the DuPage Federation on Human Services

Register Here

 

WHAT? Immigrants and Public Benefits & Putting the Pieces Together

WHEN? March 19, 2008

WHERE?Naperville, IL

Presented by the DuPage Federation on Human Services

Register Here

 

WHAT? Making the Connection Basic Training

WHEN? Tuesday, June 10, 2008

WHERE? Naperville, IL

Presented by the DuPage Federation on Human Services the session contains practical information in an easy to understand format regarding many programs available to assist low income persons.

Register Here

The Weekly Review will resume November 27th due to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities conference and the Thanksgiving Holiday. 
 
 
Do you have something to share in the Weekly Review?
 
Please email Chrissy Mancini